Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (27 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1191 | 25% | 2025-09-21 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2025-06-15 | D | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2025-05-21 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1187 | 27% | 2025-03-20 | | Won |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1080 | 44% | 2023-07-21 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1037 | 40% | 2023-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 930 | 72% | 2022-11-16 | | Won |
| 908 | 1140 | 21% | 2022-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 988 | 61% | 2021-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-11 | | Won |
| 1103 | 965 | 69% | 2018-01-12 | | Won |
| 897 | 1010 | 34% | 2017-12-15 | | Lost |
| 964 | 951 | 52% | 2017-09-23 | | Won |
| 980 | 1263 | 16% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 972 | 1108 | 31% | 2016-03-01 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1081 | 25% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2015-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2014-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-04-19 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-07-19 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1009.5 vs 1069.4 has a 41.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).