Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (28 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 939 | 65% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1153 | 999 | 71% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 864 | 960 | 37% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 960 | 46% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 989 | 914 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 886 | 1221 | 13% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1055 | 977 | 61% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1171 | 1109 | 59% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1109 | 50% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1171 | 34% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 902 | 1100 | 24% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 938 | 72% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1050 | 41% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1112 | 44% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1037 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1043.7 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).