Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (31 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1191 | 48% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1204 | 1174 | 54% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 1204 | 1215 | 48% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 999 | 930 | 60% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1178 | 1063 | 66% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 967 | 45% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1038 | 46% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 989 | 914 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 943 | 1065 | 33% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1134 | 976 | 71% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 753 | 1131 | 10% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1134 | 753 | 90% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 921 | 1101 | 26% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1118 | 1034 | 62% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1040 | 43% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1023 | 57% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1047.6 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).