Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German (SS)): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2025-11-03 | D | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-05-17 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2024-04-18 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2024-02-27 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-12 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1132 | 69% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1132 | 69% | 2023-03-03 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2023-01-30 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1134 | 39% | 2021-09-23 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2018-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1218 | 37% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1218 | 42% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2014-12-15 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2014-07-28 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-12-27 | | Won |
| 891 | 1089 | 24% | 2013-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2013-11-14 | | Won |
| 987 | 1055 | 40% | 2013-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2013-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-02-03 | | Won |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-11-17 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1064 | 70% | 2011-02-28 | | Won |
| 1031 | 993 | 55% | 2011-02-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2010-11-01 | | Won |
| 1015 | 940 | 61% | 2010-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2010-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-07-25 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-07-17 | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1067 has a 48.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).