Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (29 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 60
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1006 | 57% | 2024-05-17 | Won |
| 875 | 875 | 50% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1178 | 33% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 1085 | 41% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
| 1255 | 1135 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1255 | 1135 | 67% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 941 | 898 | 56% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1216 | 46% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1216 | 47% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1033 | 43% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1020 | 61% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
| 1274 | 1261 | 52% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1088 | 24% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1125 | 59% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1029 | 43% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1123 | 1090 | 55% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
| 923 | 1067 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 885 | 1102 | 22% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1076 | 64% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1053 | 994 | 58% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 934 | 1090 | 29% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 986 | 54% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1178 | 33% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1083.9 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).