Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (30 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 60
Defender wins (German (SS)): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1009 | 58% | 2024-05-17 | Won |
| 895 | 895 | 50% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1097 | 46% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
| 1276 | 1136 | 69% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1276 | 1136 | 69% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 940 | 898 | 56% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1218 | 46% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1218 | 46% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1034 | 59% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 1135 | 1007 | 68% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
| 1234 | 1263 | 46% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1089 | 24% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1126 | 59% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
| 987 | 974 | 52% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 1071 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 959 | 1013 | 42% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1065 | 65% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1062 | 994 | 60% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 934 | 1121 | 25% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 968 | 57% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1079.5 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).