The Generalissimo's Own
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (37 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 78
Defender wins (Japanese): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2026-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1147 | 47% | 2024-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2024-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 973 | 61% | 2023-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-10-17 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-03-19 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-08-26 | | Tied |
| 1101 | 1020 | 61% | 2021-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1055 | 62% | 2021-05-11 | | Won |
| 734 | 1055 | 14% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2020-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2019-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1020 | 66% | 2018-08-30 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-09-27 | | Tied |
| 1099 | 1020 | 61% | 2017-09-10 | | Tied |
| 970 | 1075 | 35% | 2017-05-16 | | Lost |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-07-31 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1003 | 43% | 2015-12-14 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-08-25 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1150 | 60% | 2015-01-10 | | Won |
| 1233 | 983 | 81% | 2014-12-14 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2014-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-12-09 | | Won |
| 1074 | 875 | 76% | 2013-10-31 | | Won |
| 875 | 1074 | 24% | 2013-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-04-11 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2012-06-03 | | Lost |
| 968 | 907 | 59% | 2011-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2011-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 918 | 71% | 2010-10-05 | | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2010-09-10 | | Won |
| 1080 | 970 | 65% | 2010-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1036.6 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).