The Generalissimo's Own
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 77
Defender wins (Japanese): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1055 | 68% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1122 | 44% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 989 | 53% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1113 | 47% | 2023-10-17 | Won |
| 1163 | 1143 | 53% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 805 | 69% | 2022-08-26 | Tied |
| 1100 | 1088 | 52% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1051 | 61% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 736 | 1051 | 14% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1002 | 63% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-09-29 | Lost |
| 978 | 1055 | 39% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1088 | 56% | 2018-08-30 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2017-09-27 | Tied |
| 1109 | 1088 | 53% | 2017-09-10 | Tied |
| 962 | 1183 | 22% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 805 | 60% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 996 | 1009 | 48% | 2015-12-14 | Tied |
| 976 | 1035 | 42% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 1333 | 1113 | 78% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 882 | 74% | 2013-10-31 | Won |
| 882 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1033 | 805 | 79% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 942 | 40% | 2012-06-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 928 | 56% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1223 | 27% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 917 | 70% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 962 | 64% | 2010-07-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1002 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1103 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1022.1 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).