Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1012 | 47% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 1074 | 1061 | 52% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1237 | 1087 | 70% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1069 | 1165 | 37% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1104 | 51% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 974 | 1104 | 32% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1104 | 974 | 68% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1112 | 49% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1224 | 35% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 988 | 985 | 50% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1162 | 1066 | 63% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1051 | 855 | 76% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1112 | 1055 | 58% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1120 | 1114 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1005 | 72% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 717 | 1169 | 7% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1155 | 35% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 842 | 1165 | 13% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1103 | 44% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1070 | 44% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1079.3 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).