Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1001 | 46% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1186 | 1076 | 65% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1198 | 33% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1131 | 42% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1163 | 1117 | 57% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 876 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1185 | 39% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1130 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 694 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 979 | 1076 | 36% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1174 | 39% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1225 | 29% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1097.1 has a 46.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).