Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1051 | 39% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1208 | 1089 | 66% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1092 | 1153 | 41% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 999 | 1109 | 35% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1109 | 999 | 65% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1112 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1221 | 892 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1160 | 1117 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 882 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1151 | 1172 | 47% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1131 | 53% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 693 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1143 | 45% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1176 | 28% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1098.8 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).