Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1046 | 39% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1227 | 1154 | 60% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1143 | 34% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 1143 | 45% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1143 | 1108 | 55% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1030 | 66% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 893 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1161 | 1127 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 875 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1126 | 1185 | 42% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 694 | 1233 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1109 | 44% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1191 | 32% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1100 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).