Parry and Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (22 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2022-01-29 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2021-10-24 | | Won |
| 1243 | 732 | 95% | 2020-11-22 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1152 | 51% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-03-20 | | Won |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2015-05-01 | | Won |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2015-05-01 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2014-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-05-07 | | Lost |
| 989 | 987 | 50% | 2013-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-03-04 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-03-02 | | Won |
| 1167 | 841 | 87% | 2012-01-24 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2011-06-23 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1086 | 40% | 2011-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1015 | 73% | 2010-12-31 | | Won |
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2010-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2010-09-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1078.2 vs 1023.1 has a 57.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).