The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (36 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
| 926 | 893 | 55% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 959 | 1005 | 43% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1130 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 997 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1038 | 997 | 56% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1087 | 43% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 947 | 1037 | 37% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1329 | 12% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
| 976 | 1242 | 18% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1014 | 46% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1114 | 1020 | 63% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 844 | 909 | 41% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1191 | 31% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1109 | 31% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 940 | 57% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 988 | 938 | 57% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1144 | 28% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
| 906 | 1028 | 33% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1044 | 76% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 1060 | 38% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
| 694 | 1118 | 8% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 996.2 vs 1051.4 has a 42.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).