The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (35 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2024-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1092 | 1081 | 52% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 991 | 55% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1072 | 44% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
| 976 | 1264 | 16% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1016 | 44% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 1020 | 63% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 844 | 903 | 42% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1219 | 28% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1108 | 36% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 987 | 940 | 57% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 988 | 953 | 55% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 1053 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1145 | 28% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 1036 | 33% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1014 | 80% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
| 697 | 1140 | 7% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 1053.6 has a 42.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).