The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (37 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2025-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2024-12-03 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1051 | 31% | 2021-12-05 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1125 | 43% | 2021-10-11 | | Won |
| 977 | 1138 | 28% | 2020-09-22 | | Won |
| 993 | 977 | 52% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2019-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-09-29 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1219 | 20% | 2018-12-11 | | Tied |
| 987 | 1241 | 19% | 2018-06-29 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2016-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1024 | 49% | 2016-06-13 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-01-01 | | Lost |
| 829 | 950 | 33% | 2015-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1075 | 47% | 2014-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2014-04-06 | | Lost |
| 985 | 940 | 56% | 2012-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2012-03-30 | | Won |
| 1012 | 938 | 60% | 2011-12-10 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2011-06-18 | | Won |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-03-28 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1098 | 25% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1344 | 12% | 2011-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1317 | 1080 | 80% | 2010-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2010-08-23 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1080 | 10% | 2010-08-21 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-08-13 | | Won |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 983.9 vs 1048.1 has a 40.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).