The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (36 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
| 926 | 975 | 43% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 934 | 1019 | 38% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1066 | 1125 | 42% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 993 | 1139 | 30% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 993 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1041 | 47% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 1037 | 42% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1252 | 17% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
| 987 | 1170 | 26% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 980 | 994 | 48% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 964 | 53% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 1020 | 71% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 844 | 985 | 31% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1102 | 43% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 1110 | 34% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 940 | 57% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 938 | 60% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1055 | 53% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 963 | 1144 | 26% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
| 906 | 1065 | 29% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1294 | 1081 | 77% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 991 | 1098 | 35% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
| 694 | 1086 | 9% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1000 vs 1049.5 has a 42.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).