The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (40 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 74
Defender wins (German): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 1077 | 29% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1228 | 956 | 83% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1092 | 48% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 991 | 53% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 1040 | 39% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 971 | 81% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 979 | 55% | 2017-10-27 | Won |
| 1257 | 1044 | 77% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
| 907 | 1219 | 14% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 932 | 67% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 889 | 73% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 988 | 953 | 55% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1014 | 69% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 994 | 72% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
| 940 | 1125 | 26% | 2011-08-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 1264 | 35% | 2011-07-30 | Won |
| 1116 | 976 | 69% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 987 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 1010 | 54% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
| 991 | 919 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1008 | 51% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 697 | 1140 | 7% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1038.7 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).