The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (43 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 77
Defender wins (German): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1013 | 73% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 990 | 1130 | 31% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 990 | 53% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 1028 | 41% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 953 | 82% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 953 | 64% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 979 | 55% | 2017-10-27 | Won |
| 1242 | 1044 | 76% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
| 881 | 1217 | 13% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 931 | 70% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 1128 | 1151 | 47% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1012 | 938 | 60% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1018 | 63% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1104 | 57% | 2011-11-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 980 | 68% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 1094 | 61% | 2011-08-09 | Won |
| 1134 | 1193 | 42% | 2011-07-30 | Won |
| 1091 | 976 | 66% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
| 992 | 919 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1079 | 1006 | 60% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2010-09-01 | Won |
| 693 | 1073 | 10% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1091 | 39% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1118 | 1023 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1031.6 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).