The Volga is Reached!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1294 | 16% | 2025-10-10 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2022-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1012 | 45% | 2021-10-21 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1012 | 45% | 2021-09-18 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1172 | 25% | 2021-02-06 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1284 | 15% | 2021-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-12-15 | | Won |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2020-06-27 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2018-11-23 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-07-18 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-02-26 | | Won |
| 1215 | 885 | 87% | 2011-10-19 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1006.2 vs 1031.2 has a 46.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).