First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (6 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 34
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2022-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1101 | 49% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1127 | 36% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1040 | 61% | 2014-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2012-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2012-08-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1048.8 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).