First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (6 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 34
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1101 | 55% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1091 | 41% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1061 | 59% | 2014-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2012-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2012-08-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1052 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).