An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1221 | 982 | 80% | 2017-01-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1004 | 56% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1004 | 56% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 988 | 949 | 56% | 2013-01-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 998 | 50% | 2011-12-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-09-06 | Won |
| 694 | 1099 | 9% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1019.5 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).