Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 174 (59 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 98
Defender wins (German): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1081 | 999 | 62% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 995 | 53% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1125 | 38% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 964 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1076 | 967 | 65% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 903 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 881 | 59% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1143 | 1200 | 42% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 965 | 989 | 47% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 1089 | 999 | 63% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 978 | 1024 | 43% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 981 | 63% | 2019-07-10 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1283 | 1086 | 76% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 997 | 59% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1175 | 987 | 75% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1260 | 18% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1140 | 32% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 994 | 46% | 2015-07-17 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1081 | 40% | 2015-07-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 979 | 59% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1012 | 1252 | 20% | 2014-03-21 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2014-01-14 | Won |
| 891 | 1006 | 34% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1024 | 956 | 60% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1071 | 41% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1143 | 42% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1081 | 1143 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 881 | 1126 | 20% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2012-01-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1063 | 44% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
| 959 | 1024 | 41% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1098 | 62% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 1019 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1180 | 1022 | 71% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1192 | 27% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 980 | 66% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 1211 | 31% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1140 | 54% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1057.3 has a 47.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).