Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1089 | 68% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1107 | 45% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1092 | 45% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1121 | 51% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1060 | 67% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1084.1 vs 1080.9 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).