Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (7 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
1307 | 1043 | 82% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
1068 | 1073 | 49% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
1083 | 1103 | 47% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1067.1 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).