Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1053 | 81% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1113 | 43% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1117 | 55% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1109.5 vs 1092.4 has a 52.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).