Pavlov's Dogs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (14 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1348 | 25% | 2022-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2020-08-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2020-08-12 | | Won |
| 973 | 1151 | 26% | 2020-02-29 | | Lost |
| 1106 | 1219 | 34% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2013-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1147 | 48% | 2012-12-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2012-09-22 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-09-04 | | Won |
| 1078 | 864 | 77% | 2012-05-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1201 | 24% | 2011-04-25 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 944 | 69% | 2010-12-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1056.1 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).