Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (French / British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1284 | 30% | 2026-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1242 | 36% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2022-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 949 | 83% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1134 | 907 | 79% | 2018-07-15 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2016-07-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1152 | 59% | 2016-07-14 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2012-04-27 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1132 | 52% | 2011-04-12 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1015 | 37% | 2011-03-11 | | Lost |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2011-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1329 | 19% | 2011-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1194 | 27% | 2010-11-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1090.4 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).