Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (13 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (French / British): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1123 | 46% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1015 | 38% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1247 | 26% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1045.2 has a 52.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).