Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (French / British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1224 | 1243 | 47% | 2026-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 977 | 81% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1085 | 907 | 74% | 2018-07-15 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2016-07-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1156 | 59% | 2016-07-14 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2012-04-27 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1147 | 48% | 2011-04-12 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1015 | 43% | 2011-03-11 | | Lost |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2011-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1317 | 20% | 2011-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1094.6 has a 48.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).