Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (French / British): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1134 | 45% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1021 | 76% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1188 | 902 | 84% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 1202 | 52% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1079 | 978 | 64% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1124 | 1079 | 56% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1083 | 40% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 1015 | 32% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1257 | 28% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1065.4 has a 51.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).