Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (11 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (French / British): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1029 | 980 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1109 | 916 | 75% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
1284 | 1148 | 69% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
977 | 1005 | 46% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
937 | 895 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1005.3 has a 57.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).