Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 40
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2023-07-27 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-09-11 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-06-13 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1077 | 27% | 2020-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2020-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2018-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 925 | 71% | 2018-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1078 | 60% | 2017-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2015-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2012-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 870 | 68% | 2012-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2012-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 841 | 75% | 2011-11-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2011-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2011-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-05-21 | | Lost |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1021.8 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).