Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1307 | 1284 | 53% | 2023-07-27 | Won |
1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
943 | 1032 | 37% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
920 | 1078 | 29% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
944 | 944 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
1026 | 965 | 59% | 2018-08-02 | Lost |
1038 | 1029 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
983 | 1080 | 36% | 2015-08-29 | Lost |
1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
1061 | 984 | 61% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
870 | 933 | 41% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
944 | 870 | 60% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
1110 | 1029 | 61% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
987 | 895 | 63% | 2011-11-14 | Won |
999 | 1094 | 37% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
957 | 1125 | 28% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
1010 | 1039 | 46% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1006.6 vs 1022.3 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).