First Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (18 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 35
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1048 | 1001 | 57% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2023-11-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 919 | 87% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1096 | 53% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 926 | 986 | 41% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 1078 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2014-11-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 890 | 73% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 871 | 880 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 890 | 73% | 2014-01-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1071 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1125 | 35% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2011-08-25 | Won |
| 1152 | 1194 | 44% | 2011-07-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2011-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1012.3 has a 55.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).