First Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 34
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1032 | 27% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 1017 | 56% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-11-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 930 | 86% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1096 | 52% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 925 | 986 | 41% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 1079 | 1029 | 57% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1137 | 973 | 72% | 2014-11-22 | Won |
| 1038 | 889 | 70% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 870 | 879 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 889 | 70% | 2014-01-15 | Won |
| 1108 | 1070 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 1029 | 58% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1125 | 35% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2011-08-25 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2011-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1045.6 vs 1000.4 has a 56.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).