Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (18 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 933 | 73% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 996 | 1156 | 28% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1196 | 764 | 92% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1329 | 1026 | 85% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1037 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1154 | 40% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 919 | 916 | 50% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 987 | 919 | 60% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 1009 | 37% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 1099 | 45% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 917 | 1036 | 34% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1026.8 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).