Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (20 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1055 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 946 | 80% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1117 | 37% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1177 | 780 | 91% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1283 | 1051 | 79% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1045 | 77% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1200 | 34% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 917 | 56% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 979 | 1081 | 36% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 987 | 60% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 959 | 55% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 972 | 43% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1098 | 49% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1260 | 25% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 917 | 1045 | 32% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1033.3 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).