Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (21 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2026-05-03 | Won |
| 1054 | 1118 | 41% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1181 | 946 | 79% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 1150 | 1145 | 51% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1102 | 780 | 86% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1052 | 77% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1077 | 69% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 880 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1198 | 34% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1059 | 987 | 60% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1011 | 47% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 971 | 43% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 1052 | 47% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1185 | 33% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 918 | 1060 | 31% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1035.1 has a 53.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).