Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (21 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2026-05-03 | Won |
| 1054 | 1076 | 47% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1213 | 946 | 82% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 1156 | 1145 | 52% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1159 | 780 | 90% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1052 | 77% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1077 | 73% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 880 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1188 | 35% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 917 | 62% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 941 | 1121 | 26% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1005 | 48% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 1047 | 32% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 998 | 1099 | 36% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 1241 | 26% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 918 | 1029 | 35% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1042.9 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).