Circle of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (13 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2025-01-12 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1283 | 59% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 769 | 82% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1218 | 46% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 997 | 1060 | 41% | 2012-11-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1006 | 1016 | 49% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2011-07-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2011-07-04 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1343 | 19% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1078.2 vs 1055.8 has a 53.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).