Three for the Third
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (10 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2025-01-12 | Won |
| 1036 | 786 | 81% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1219 | 19% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 985 | 1058 | 40% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2011-06-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2011-04-28 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1110 | 63% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1054.4 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).