First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 5
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 969 | 52% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1129 | 997 | 68% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1226 | 34% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1051 | 1129 | 39% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1276 | 27% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1251 | 39% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1030 | 78% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1116.5 vs 1113.7 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).