Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (10 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1046 | 58% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1026 | 48% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1065 | 1077 | 48% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1059 | 38% | 2020-04-09 | Won |
| 942 | 1182 | 20% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1263 | 33% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1021 | 906 | 66% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2015-01-11 | Won |
| 1342 | 991 | 88% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2004-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1056.9 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).