The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1160 | 47% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1093 | 35% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1134 | 976 | 71% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 945 | 983 | 45% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1023 | 67% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1234 | 33% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 976 | 72% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 1036 | 1137 | 36% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1191 | 21% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1140 | 43% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1078.1 has a 49.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).