Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 955 | 62% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 881 | 849 | 55% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1188 | 30% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 954 | 1068 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1120 | 34% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1245 | 1225 | 53% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1188 | 30% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 943 | 869 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 1092 | 43% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1051 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 1084 | 49% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 962 | 1066 | 35% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1092 | 38% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1138 | 945 | 75% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1050.5 has a 48.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).