Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 1162 | 55% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1211 | 44% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 938 | 948 | 49% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1220 | 39% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 920 | 1023 | 36% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1131 | 25% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1071 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1093 | 73% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1115 | 70% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1192 | 27% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1226 | 52% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 938 | 1131 | 25% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1021 | 59% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1098 | 48% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1170 | 1160 | 51% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 932 | 955 | 47% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1061 | 1167 | 35% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1124 | 1019 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1069.2 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).