Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1182 | 53% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1209 | 43% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1114 | 948 | 72% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1139 | 1217 | 39% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 919 | 1059 | 31% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1113 | 50% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 1067 | 35% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1193 | 27% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1226 | 52% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1113 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1083 | 1034 | 57% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1098 | 48% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 925 | 996 | 40% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 1160 | 33% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1031 | 61% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 940 | 63% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1069.9 has a 49.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).