Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1153 | 55% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1209 | 49% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 805 | 949 | 30% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1216 | 41% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 919 | 1093 | 27% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 1067 | 35% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1201 | 25% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1226 | 52% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1079 | 51% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 975 | 1008 | 45% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 1204 | 25% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1002 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 940 | 65% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1071.1 has a 43.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).