Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (17 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (British): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
971 | 924 | 57% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
881 | 849 | 55% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
971 | 1144 | 27% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
1137 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
954 | 1068 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
1093 | 1149 | 42% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
1266 | 1225 | 56% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
971 | 1144 | 27% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
943 | 869 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
1062 | 1087 | 46% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
1062 | 1068 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
987 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
1113 | 1083 | 54% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
1087 | 945 | 69% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1035.4 has a 50.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).