Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 993 | 60% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1100 | 33% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1051 | 77% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1157 | 44% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 919 | 68% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1098 | 46% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1073 | 1098 | 46% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1064 | 973 | 63% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1310 | 1169 | 69% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1058 | 65% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1064 | 1026 | 55% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1105.9 vs 1040 has a 59.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).