Road to Buin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 856 | 878 | 47% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1060 | 56% | 2022-04-24 | Lost |
| 1062 | 965 | 64% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1006 vs 967.7 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).