Where the Winter Lingers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2011-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 1007.1 has a 49.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).