Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Canadian): 9
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1006 | 62% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 903 | 884 | 53% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1038 | 61% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1028 | 56% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1090 | 53% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
| 889 | 1058 | 27% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 963 | 1016 | 42% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1047 | 959 | 62% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1145 | 66% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1089 | 50% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 866 | 70% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1051 has a 50.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).