Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Canadian): 9
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1131 | 32% | 2025-11-13 | Lost |
| 988 | 882 | 65% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 983 | 979 | 51% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1057 | 45% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1025 | 45% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1025 | 52% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1062 | 58% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1045 | 1006 | 56% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1176 | 45% | 2013-11-10 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1111 | 51% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
| 1190 | 1140 | 57% | 2013-07-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1134 | 20% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1134 | 49% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 963 | 1047 | 38% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 960 | 61% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1167 | 58% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 983 | 65% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1063.8 has a 48.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).