From Matilda with Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 1170 | 26% | 2023-05-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 982 | 54% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1037 | 47% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1010 | 41% | 2020-05-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2017-02-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2016-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1026.9 vs 1048.2 has a 46.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).