Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1037 | 32% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 941 | 1021 | 39% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 879 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 987 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 987 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 960.4 vs 1019.1 has a 41.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).