Operation Varsity Series #1: Thunder From Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American & British): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 920 | 70% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1112 | 41% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1118.4 vs 1059.2 has a 58.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).