Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (14 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 21
Defender wins (Canadian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1065 | 1056 | 51% | 2024-01-19 | Won |
1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
1041 | 1026 | 52% | 2020-04-15 | Lost |
1131 | 1055 | 61% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
950 | 973 | 47% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
1002 | 980 | 53% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
997 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
1045 | 1016 | 54% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
1083 | 986 | 64% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
1112 | 1307 | 25% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1042 has a 49.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).