Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (20 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Canadian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 962 | 57% | 2024-12-21 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2024-09-15 | Won |
| 962 | 927 | 55% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1149 | 1057 | 63% | 2024-01-19 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 996 | 1004 | 49% | 2020-04-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1165 | 48% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1065 | 57% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 973 | 58% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 982 | 53% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1016 | 54% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 998 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 986 | 56% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 1316 | 23% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1037.3 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).