Fish in a Barrel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
893 | 1106 | 23% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
920 | 1142 | 22% | 2012-03-24 | Won |
1130 | 1019 | 65% | 2012-03-22 | Won |
1083 | 944 | 69% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
1120 | 1003 | 66% | 2012-01-22 | Won |
925 | 927 | 50% | 2011-11-28 | Lost |
1044 | 948 | 63% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
1196 | 980 | 78% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1008.6 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).