Fish in a Barrel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1180 | 16% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1075 | 938 | 69% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1060 | 48% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 927 | 1218 | 16% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 916 | 1051 | 31% | 2012-03-24 | Won |
| 1190 | 1020 | 73% | 2012-03-22 | Won |
| 1151 | 978 | 73% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 910 | 76% | 2012-01-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2011-11-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 946 | 65% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1065 | 82% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1051.1 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).