Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (25 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1165 | 36% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 916 | 921 | 49% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 1256 | 978 | 83% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1030 | 65% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 762 | 83% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1039 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 953 | 76% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1064 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1067 | 1028 | 56% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1124 | 927 | 76% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1051 | 1094 | 44% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 890 | 69% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 1131 | 52% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1110 | 78% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1050 | 54% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 993 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 1152 | 47% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1183 | 46% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1065 | 919 | 70% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1092.8 vs 1033.9 has a 58.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).