Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (23 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1274 | 972 | 85% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1029 | 55% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1039 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1163 | 953 | 77% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1135 | 1176 | 44% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1064 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1191 | 961 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1067 | 1028 | 56% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1109 | 950 | 71% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 1095 | 44% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 890 | 69% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1110 | 78% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1119 | 44% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1132 | 1152 | 47% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1182 | 46% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 920 | 69% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1090.1 vs 1036.9 has a 57.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).