Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (27 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 74
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1215 | 31% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1025 | 76% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1017 | 48% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 998 | 780 | 78% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 951 | 1056 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 993 | 1263 | 17% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1108 | 947 | 72% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1064 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1051 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1129 | 885 | 80% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1029 | 41% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 891 | 72% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 1131 | 35% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1114 | 66% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1040 | 55% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 994 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1132 | 1140 | 49% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1129 | 919 | 77% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1059.4 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).