Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1226 | 30% | 2025-09-27 | A | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-09-27 | A | Lost |
| 1281 | 1132 | 70% | 2025-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2024-12-04 | | Won |
| 977 | 780 | 76% | 2024-05-21 | | Won |
| 951 | 1056 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1242 | 19% | 2023-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1143 | 64% | 2023-01-28 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 947 | 75% | 2020-11-19 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2020-01-16 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1056 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2013-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 954 | 75% | 2012-10-16 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2012-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2012-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-10-22 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2011-10-03 | | Lost |
| 936 | 993 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2011-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-07-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 919 | 79% | 2011-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1078.3 vs 1045.3 has a 54.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).