Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (20 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German (SS)): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 949 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 952 | 76% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1063 | 58% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 1036 | 55% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 952 | 71% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1173 | 38% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1036 | 887 | 70% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1110 | 76% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1140 | 41% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 910 | 70% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1030 has a 56.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).