Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (25 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1196 | 34% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 1043 | 1032 | 52% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1002 | 83% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 1021 | 773 | 81% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1054 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 953 | 71% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1194 | 940 | 81% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1124 | 879 | 80% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 1031 | 53% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1003 | 890 | 66% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1193 | 1117 | 61% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1110 | 78% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1080 | 49% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 993 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 1151 | 47% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1078 | 919 | 71% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1099.6 vs 1039 has a 58.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).