Steamroller
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Russian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 692 | 90% | 2025-10-15 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2024-07-23 | | Lost |
| 991 | 960 | 54% | 2024-04-20 | | Won |
| 1177 | 1183 | 49% | 2024-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1289 | 32% | 2024-03-28 | | Won |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-03-24 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1211 | 32% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 933 | 79% | 2024-02-28 | | Won |
| 1150 | 988 | 72% | 2023-05-08 | | Won |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2023-05-03 | | Won |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1040 | 63% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1040 | 63% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1031 | 67% | 2022-09-18 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1104 | 1134 | 46% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-09-29 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2019-06-17 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1145 | 32% | 2017-10-03 | | Won |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2017-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2014-07-13 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2013-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2012-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-12-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1053.6 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).