The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1248 | 44% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1186 | 1094 | 63% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 952 | 75% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 903 | 67% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1169 | 1141 | 54% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 983 | 53% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1136 | 51% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1125.2 vs 1084.7 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).