The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1186 | 53% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1109 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1089 | 879 | 77% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1020 | 958 | 59% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1149 | 970 | 74% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1153 | 1137 | 52% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1047 | 1018 | 54% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1340 | 17% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1124.8 vs 1089.4 has a 55.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).