Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 976 | 1052 | 39% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1052 | 51% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 884 | 71% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1195 | 1218 | 47% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1218 | 42% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1121 | 952 | 73% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1117.1 vs 1072.3 has a 56.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).