Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1128 | 1046 | 62% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
1047 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
1108 | 959 | 70% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
1095 | 838 | 81% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
916 | 968 | 43% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1053.3 has a 55.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).