Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1158 | 44% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 935 | 1072 | 31% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1072 | 48% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1075 | 928 | 70% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1217 | 43% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 952 | 68% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1116.2 vs 1081.8 has a 54.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).