It's Not Over
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (French): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1165 | 52% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 967 | 49% | 2025-06-07 | Won |
| 1177 | 985 | 75% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2024-08-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1226 | 1027 | 76% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1040 | 61% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1100 | 66% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1137 | 45% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1163 | 28% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1152 | 54% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 972 | 1143 | 27% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 1098 | 919 | 74% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 919 | 74% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 972 | 73% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 905 | 83% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1012 | 972 | 56% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2011-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1104.6 vs 1056.8 has a 56.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).