It's Not Over
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (French): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-06-07 | A | Won |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2025-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2024-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 960 | 63% | 2014-11-15 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1021 | 76% | 2014-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2014-04-11 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1101 | 66% | 2014-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-03-19 | | Lost |
| 999 | 1126 | 32% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2013-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1097 | 54% | 2013-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2013-10-26 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2013-10-26 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2013-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2013-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2012-04-12 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1147 | 48% | 2011-11-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1066.1 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).