It's Not Over
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (French): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1161 | 58% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 968 | 52% | 2025-06-07 | Won |
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1179 | 57% | 2024-08-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 960 | 63% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1039 | 59% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1217 | 1101 | 66% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1139 | 45% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1108 | 35% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1140 | 56% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1131 | 35% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1096 | 52% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 1042 | 992 | 57% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1042 | 992 | 57% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1025 | 65% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1066 | 70% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1025 | 50% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2011-11-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103.7 vs 1081.8 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).