Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (13 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 33
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 998 | 55% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | 2015-07-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1039 | 65% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1067 | 43% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1247 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1053.5 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).