Texas Flood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1088 | 33% | 2025-10-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 756 | 84% | 2024-07-14 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1177 | 64% | 2022-10-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1071 | 48% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1073 | 50% | 2015-09-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 1033 | 56% | 2014-05-13 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 882 | 1140 | 18% | 2013-09-08 | Won |
| 1071 | 1020 | 57% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1169 | 1232 | 41% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1071 | 34% | 2012-11-26 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1282 | 59% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1083.1 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).