A Bloody Waste
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (18 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1150 | 33% | 2026-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 904 | 72% | 2025-03-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-02-23 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-02-19 | | Lost |
| 991 | 939 | 57% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-07-04 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1129 | 38% | 2018-01-13 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-08-11 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1133 | 17% | 2014-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2014-01-14 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-10-31 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1011 | 44% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2013-10-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2012-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2012-05-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1050.8 has a 50.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).