A Bloody Waste
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (18 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1170 | 27% | 2026-04-15 | Lost |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2023-04-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1066 | 41% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 1026 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 967 | 939 | 54% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 930 | 984 | 42% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 1078 | 941 | 69% | 2018-01-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-08-11 | Lost |
| 862 | 1135 | 17% | 2014-04-07 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-01-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 944 | 73% | 2013-10-31 | Lost |
| 967 | 974 | 49% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1159 | 1029 | 68% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1214 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 1044 | 44% | 2012-06-02 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1159 | 45% | 2012-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1058.4 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).