The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 1054 | 57% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 937 | 1061 | 33% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1219 | 41% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1081 | 55% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1160 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1058 | 51% | 2012-03-02 | Won |
| 998 | 1154 | 29% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1086.4 has a 47.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).