Silent Night, Deadly Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (9 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1226 | 22% | 2026-09-10 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1165 | 25% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1079 | 53% | 2022-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2022-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1218 | 32% | 2020-09-02 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1218 | 38% | 2020-09-02 | | Won |
| 918 | 1018 | 36% | 2016-06-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.1 vs 1115.9 has a 37.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).