ASL Scenario Archive

Uncles and Pups

Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (38 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (Russian): 41

Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 70

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1121	1165	44%	2025-03-02	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2024-07-26	Lost
879	891	48%	2024-05-29	Lost
1089	789	85%	2022-04-11	Won
793	1029	20%	2022-03-04	Lost
944	1032	38%	2022-02-27	Lost
1013	1085	40%	2022-01-10	Won
1116	1172	42%	2021-09-21	Lost
964	1032	40%	2021-04-20	Tied
1153	1133	53%	2020-12-19	Lost
1135	1219	38%	2020-12-10	Won
1082	1082	50%	2020-10-04	Won
1089	1219	32%	2019-06-10	Won
981	1063	38%	2019-04-15	Won
1157	853	85%	2019-01-02	Won
1025	1056	46%	2018-10-01	Won
846	983	31%	2018-04-10	Lost
1223	1008	78%	2017-06-06	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2017-03-01	Lost
929	1158	21%	2017-01-10	Won
1126	1038	62%	2016-06-07	Lost
1061	1000	59%	2015-02-27	Lost
889	1026	31%	2015-01-28	Won
1202	1228	46%	2014-09-01	Lost
1054	1219	28%	2014-05-07	Lost
1132	1086	57%	2013-07-15	Won
1099	1096	50%	2013-04-27	Lost
1032	1207	27%	2012-09-10	Lost
866	1010	30%	2012-07-02	Won
899	966	40%	2012-07-01	Won
1207	1032	73%	2012-05-29	Won
976	1210	21%	2012-05-10	Won
976	976	50%	2012-05-05	Won
963	949	52%	2012-04-21	Lost
1115	1010	65%	2012-04-08	Lost
1110	940	73%	2012-01-14	Lost
1110	940	73%	2010-01-14	Lost
1117	1118	50%		Lost

Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1057.8 has a 47.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).