The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1118 | 55% | 2025-03-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1242 | 22% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
| 1025 | 973 | 57% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 738 | 1087 | 12% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
| 1186 | 1181 | 51% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1189 | 933 | 81% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1124 | 35% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1087 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1052 | 70% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1050 | 881 | 73% | 2014-11-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1203 | 54% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
| 969 | 1143 | 27% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1143 | 969 | 73% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1100.2 vs 1060 has a 55.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).