Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (13 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 756 | 85% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Won |
| 1057 | 1217 | 28% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
| 851 | 1116 | 18% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1024 | 55% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 1065 | 33% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 1008 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 875 | 1068 | 25% | 2014-12-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 949 | 980 | 46% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 993 vs 1038.1 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).