Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (13 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 754 | 85% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
| 858 | 1153 | 15% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 1063 | 33% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1007 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1063 | 26% | 2014-12-13 | Won |
| 1201 | 1228 | 46% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 949 | 934 | 52% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1016.8 vs 1043.8 has a 46.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).