Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1120 | 947 | 73% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
1120 | 1284 | 28% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
864 | 1201 | 13% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
1056 | 1027 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
939 | 951 | 48% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1275 | 1227 | 57% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
956 | 1212 | 19% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
963 | 982 | 47% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1079.9 has a 43.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).