Came Tumbling After
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian ): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian ): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 707 | 89% | 2025-10-14 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1052 | 49% | 2025-06-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 1075 | 35% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 900 | 63% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2013-12-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2012-10-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2012-05-17 | Lost |
| 944 | 1120 | 27% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.9 vs 1011.9 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).