A Frosty Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 17
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 967 | 64% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 939 | 70% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 891 | 886 | 51% | 2025-01-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1105 | 43% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1213 | 1004 | 77% | 2024-11-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1087 | 52% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1413 | 1004 | 91% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 916 | 870 | 57% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 952 | 1037 | 38% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2020-09-01 | Lost |
| 976 | 998 | 47% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1285 | 1128 | 71% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 974 | 1162 | 25% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1152 | 52% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1162 | 990 | 73% | 2015-10-30 | Won |
| 1105 | 1115 | 49% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1168 | 1313 | 30% | 2013-10-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1099 | 53% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
| 1413 | 1113 | 85% | 2013-06-15 | Won |
| 1067 | 1099 | 45% | 2013-04-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2013-02-22 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1099.2 vs 1059.3 has a 55.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).