Overrun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Canadian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1193 | 31% | 2021-09-07 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 922 | 1193 | 17% | 2015-03-29 | Won |
| 1141 | 1001 | 69% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 963 | 1038 | 39% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1027.4 has a 53.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).