Overrun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Canadian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1216 | 22% | 2021-09-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 900 | 1216 | 14% | 2015-03-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1001 | 79% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 960 | 1130 | 27% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 1101 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1140 | 1143 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1059.3 has a 47.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).