Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 999 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2013-09-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1031 | 55% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 879 | 82% | 2012-08-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 1113 | 42% | 2012-08-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1051 | 63% | 2012-07-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 949 | 56% | 2012-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1093.5 vs 1014.6 has a 61.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).